Technical Analysis of Stock Market

A candlestick chart is a popular financial chart used to analyze price movements in stocks, forex, commodities, and other financial instruments. Each candlestick represents a specific time period (e.g., a minute, hour, day) and shows the opening, closing, high, and low prices for that period. Understanding the chart and its patterns can help traders make informed decisions.

Structure of a Candlestick

  1. Body: The rectangular portion that represents the opening and closing prices.

Green/White Body: Closing price is higher than the opening price (bullish).

Red/Black Body: Closing price is lower than the opening price (bearish).

  1. Wick/Shadow: The thin lines above and below the body show the highest and lowest prices during the period.

  2. Open and Close: The top or bottom of the body, depending on the direction of the price movement.

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Major Candlestick Patterns

  1. Single Candlestick Patterns

Doji:

Description: Opening and closing prices are nearly the same, resulting in a very small body.

Significance: Indicates indecision; potential reversal or continuation depends on context.

Hammer:

Description: Small body near the top with a long lower wick.

Significance: Bullish reversal pattern after a downtrend.

Shooting Star:

Description: Small body near the bottom with a long upper wick.

Significance: Bearish reversal pattern after an uptrend.

Marubozu:

Description: A full body with no wicks (either all high or all low).

Significance: Strong trend in the direction of the candle (bullish or bearish).


  1. Dual Candlestick Patterns

Bullish Engulfing:

Description: A small bearish candle is completely engulfed by a larger bullish candle.

Significance: Indicates a potential bullish reversal.

Bearish Engulfing:

Description: A small bullish candle is engulfed by a larger bearish candle.

Significance: Indicates a potential bearish reversal.

Harami:

Description: A small candle within the body of the previous larger candle (bullish or bearish).

Significance: Signals potential trend reversal or consolidation.


  1. Triple Candlestick Patterns

Morning Star:

Description: A bearish candle, followed by a small indecisive candle, then a strong bullish candle.

Significance: Bullish reversal after a downtrend.

Evening Star:

Description: A bullish candle, followed by a small indecisive candle, then a strong bearish candle.

Significance: Bearish reversal after an uptrend.

Three White Soldiers:

Description: Three consecutive bullish candles with higher closes.

Significance: Strong bullish trend.

Three Black Crows:

Description: Three consecutive bearish candles with lower closes.

Significance: Strong bearish trend.

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Key Tips for Using Candlestick Patterns

  1. Context Matters: Use patterns in conjunction with trendlines, support/resistance levels, or indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD) for better accuracy.

  2. Volume Confirmation: Check volume to confirm the validity of patterns.

  3. Avoid Overtrading: Not all patterns lead to significant price changes. Watch for false signals.

  4. Practice and Backtesting: Learn through practice by analyzing historical data.

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Indicators of Candlestick Chart


Candlestick charts are often paired with key indicators to help traders analyze trends, momentum, and potential reversals more effectively. These indicators complement candlestick patterns to provide a clearer picture of market conditions. Below are the major indicators used with candlestick charts:


  1. Moving Averages

Simple Moving Average (SMA): The average price over a set period (e.g., 20-day, 50-day, 200-day).

Usage: Identifies trends and potential support/resistance levels.

Exponential Moving Average (EMA): Gives more weight to recent prices, making it more responsive to price changes.

Usage: Useful for identifying short-term momentum shifts.


  1. Relative Strength Index (RSI)

Description: A momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements, ranging from 0 to 100.

Overbought (>70): Indicates a potential reversal or correction.

Oversold (<30): Signals a possible bullish reversal.

Divergence: RSI diverging from price trends may indicate a reversal.


  1. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)

Description: A trend-following momentum indicator showing the relationship between two moving averages (e.g., 12-day EMA and 26-day EMA).

Signal Line Crossover: When the MACD line crosses above the signal line, it's bullish; when it crosses below, it's bearish.

Zero Line Crossover: MACD crossing above or below the zero line indicates changes in trend direction.


  1. Bollinger Bands

Description: A volatility indicator with an SMA in the center and two bands above and below, representing standard deviations.

Squeeze: Indicates low volatility; a breakout might follow.

Bounce: Prices tend to return to the SMA after hitting a band.


  1. Stochastic Oscillator

Description: A momentum indicator comparing the closing price to a range of prices over a period.

Overbought (>80): Potential bearish reversal.

Oversold (<20): Possible bullish reversal.


  1. Volume Indicators

Volume Profile: Shows the volume traded at various price levels.

On-Balance Volume (OBV): Measures buying and selling pressure by accumulating volume based on price direction.

Divergence: Price rising but OBV falling may signal weakness.


  1. Fibonacci Retracement

Description: Levels based on Fibonacci ratios (23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%) used to identify potential support and resistance zones.

Usage: Works well with candlestick patterns like Doji or Engulfing patterns for reversal points.


  1. Average True Range (ATR)

Description: Measures market volatility by calculating the average range of price movement over a set period.

Usage: Helps set stop-loss levels or determine market activity.


  1. Parabolic SAR (Stop and Reverse)

Description: Plots dots above or below price bars to indicate potential reversals.

Usage: Dots below indicate an uptrend; dots above signal a downtrend.


  1. Trendlines and Support/Resistance Levels

Description: Trendlines connect significant highs or lows, while horizontal lines mark key price levels where the price has reversed or paused.

Usage: Helps confirm candlestick patterns like Morning Star (at support) or Shooting Star (at resistance).


  1. Ichimoku Cloud

Description: A comprehensive indicator showing support/resistance, trend direction, momentum, and future price action.

Usage: A bullish signal occurs when the price is above the cloud; bearish when below.


  1. Pivot Points

Description: Calculated based on high, low, and close prices of the previous period to predict support and resistance levels.

Usage: Helps identify potential reversal zones when combined with candlestick patterns.


How to Use These Indicators

  1. Combine Indicators: For example, use RSI with candlestick patterns to confirm overbought/oversold conditions.

  2. Avoid Overloading: Focus on 2-3 complementary indicators to avoid conflicting signals.

  3. Test and Adapt: Different assets or markets may respond better to specific indicators. Backtest before applying.



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He is an accountant based in Kathmandu, Nepal. He holds an MBS and an LLB degree. In his free time, he enjoys cycling, hiking, reading, gardening, and spending time with friends and family. He is passionate about learning and sharing his knowledge with others.

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